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Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Best Score 2012 Oscar Prediction: Life of Pi

Posted on 11:26 PM by Unknown
The Golden Globes are a great indicator of what film will win best score for Oscar.  The victor often goes on to more gold.  Occasionally, they don't get nominated by the AMPAS and a winner must be found elsewhere.  However, this year's winner, Life of Pi's Mychael Danna, hails from a Best Picture nominee which accumulated eleven nods total.  A great start.

Sometimes the choices are unconventional like Round Midnight and The Red Violin.  The only recent exceptions to the Golden Globe rule were Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon prevailing over BP-winner Gladiator and Brokeback Mountain also beat Memoirs of a Geisha.  Golden Globe winner Hans Zimmer was on his seventh nod with one win the evening Gladiator took five Oscars in a year Oscar spread the wealth.  Tan Dun, having been nominated also for Best Song that night, won four of Crouching Tiger's victories.  Incidentally, we are in another year where several films will probably win a few statues, and like Dun, Danna is also on his first two nominations the same year for an Ang Lee film that will likely be generously rewarded (he is also recognized for Best Song).  Gustavo Santaolalla, who would win his second the next year, got Ang Lee's Brokeback Mountain one of its three wins over multiple-winning John Williams for Memoirs, which ended up winning four as it were, in yet another year where there was no one film railroading the competition.  In the last thirty years, only two other films have won the Globe and got nominated for Oscar only to lose: Gorillas in the Mist and The Mission.

Dario Marianelli (Anna Karenina) is on his third nomination, all for Joe Wright films, having won for Atonement.  Alexandre Desplat (Argo) is on his fifth nod with no win--all for different directors.  Thomas Newman (Skyfall) is on his eleventh nomination with no wins.  Williams, who gets recognized for just about everything he scores for Steven Spielberg, is on his record 48th nomination.  Ridiculous, right?  He's had five wins, the last being for Schindler's List.  His very first nomination was for Valley of the Dolls, as auspicious designation that also couples with Richard Dreyfuss' film debut.

Could this be the third Lee film to get best score?  The smart money is on Pi, but likely BP winner Argo, looking for wins in the very few areas it can secure them, could possibly take this category also.  Skyfall, the likely winner for Best Song, could also finally reward Newman with the honor.  Most of the Gold Derby gang is going for Pi.  Anne Thompson and Keith Simanton have Argo.  Inexplicably or perhaps not, a grip has Lincoln for the win (Matt Atchity, Richard Horgan, Kevin Polowy, Paul Sheehan, Chuck Walton, Susan Wloszczyna).  I'll throw up if that happens.  Strangely, no one has Skyfall pegged as the victor, which almost makes me want to predict it.  Do you dare me?

Life of Pi 45%
Argo 30%
Skyfall 20%
Lincoln 2.5%
Anna Karenina 2.5%

What are your thoughts?
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