Best Director, Screenplays, Etc Oscar 2013 - September Predictions

Rounding out this month's predictions, we have most of the other major categories.  Surprisingly little activity with the screenplay categories, the directing race seems to be reshaping itself a lot more.  Most don't believe McQueen has a chance, but I'm going for it.  And with the Venice reviews and The Academy having opened their arms to past Alfonso Cuarón films, the Mexican director's ambitious Gravity is sure to make a convincing argument for his inclusion.  I'm beginning to buy into the possibility that David O. Russell's dual nods in the last few years were not a coincidence.  Harvey Weinstein has a chance of getting someone in, but the question will really be who he can make the strongest argument for.  He has gotten a guy in for the past five out of five races.  And Ben Stiller.  Will he turn likely commercial holiday magic into Oscar gold?

Best Director
1 (+6). David O. Russell, American Hustle
2 (+3). Steve McQueen, Twelve Years a Slave
3 (+3). Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
4 (+1). Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
5 (+6). Ben Stiller, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

6 (-5). Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
7 (+23). Lee Daniels, Lee Daniels' The Butler
8 (-4). John Wells, August: Osage County
9 (-7). George Clooney, The Monuments Men
10 (--).  J.C. Chandor, All Is Lost

11 (-3). Abdellatif Kechiche, Blue Is the Warmest Color
12 (+9). Richard Linklater, Before Midnight
13 (--). Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
14 (+1). Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
15 (+14). Ridley Scott, The Counselor
16 (--). John Lee Hancock, Saving Mr. Banks
17 (-3). Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
18 (+2). Ron Howard, Rush
19 (+12). Spike Jonze, Her
20 (-3). Alexander Payne, Nebraska

21 (+2). Jeff Nichols, Mud
22 (-13). Justin Chadwick, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
23 (+5). Jonathan Teplitzky, The Railway Man
24 (+10). Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
25 (--). Kasi Lemmons, Black Nativity
26 (--). Peter Berg, Lone Survivor
27 (+11). Jean-Marc Vallée, Dallas Buyers Club
28 (+11). Tommy Lee Jones, The Homesman
29 (+7). Baz Luhrmann, The Great Gatsby
30 (-6). Brian Percival, The Book Thief

31 (+1). Peter Landesman, Parkland
32 (-20). Stephen Frears, Philomena
33 (-14). Bill Condon, The Fifth Estate
34 (-12). Anton Corbijn, A Most Wanted Man
35 (-8). Atom Egoyan, Devil's Knot
36  (-18). Asghar Farhadi, The Past
37 (+7). Carl Rinsch, 47 Ronin

Best Original Screenplay
1 (--). Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
2 (+2). David O. Russell & Eric Singer, American Hustle
3 (-1). Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis (adapted?)
4 (--). Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
5 (+2). Alfonso & Jonás Cuarón, Gravity

6 (--). Kelly Marcel & Sue Smith, Saving Mr. Banks
7 (-2). Bob Nelson, Nebraska
8 (--). Jeff Nichols, Mud
9 (+1). Cormac McCarthy, The Counselor
10 (+1). Asghar Farhadi & Massoumeh Lahidji, The Past

11 (+1). J.C. Chandor, All Is Lost
12 (+1). Peter Morgan, Rush
13 (-4). Peter Berg, Lone Survivor
14 (+1). Spike Jonze, Her
15 (+6). Lee Daniels & Danny Strong, Lee Daniels' The Butler ("adapted"?)
16 (--). Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack, Dallas Buyers Club
17 (+7). E. Max Frye & Dan Futterman, Foxcatcher
18 (+1). Peter Landesman, Parkland
19 (-1). Arash Amel, Grace of Monaco
20 (+10). Chris Morgan, et al, 47 Ronin


Best Adapted Screenplay
1 (+2). Steve McQueen & John Ridley, Twelve Years a Slave
2 (-1). Tracy Letts, August: Osage County
3 (+1). Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight
4 (-2). George Clooney & Grant Heslov, The Monuments Men
5 (+2). Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street

6 (+3). Abdellatif Kechiche & Ghalia Lacroix, Blue Is the Warmest Color
7 (+1). Steve Conrad, The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
8 (+6). Billy Ray, Captain Phillips
9 (+8). Baz Luhrmann & Craig Pearce, The Great Gatsby
10 (+12). Jason Reitman, Labor Day

11 (+5). Frank Cottrell Boyce & Andy Paterman, The Railway Man
12 (+6). Kasi Lemmons, Black Nativity
13 (-2). Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis (original?)
14 (+7). Lee Daniels & Danny Strong, Lee Daniels' The Butler ("original"?)
15 (-9). William Nicholson, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
16 (-11). Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope, Philomena
17 (-7). Markus Zusak, Michael Petroni, The Book Thief
18 (-6). Josh Singer, The Fifth Estate
19 (-4). Andrew Bovell, A Most Wanted Man

Editing
Gravity / Hustle / 12 Years / Monuments / Captain Phillips
alts: Wolf / Rush / August / Llewyn / Walter Mitty / Butler / Lost / Fruitvale

Production Design
Gravity / Monuments / Oz / 12 Years / Gatsby
alts: Banks / Llewyn Davis / Hobbit / Elysium / Hustle / Rush / Mandela / Black Nativity

Costume Design
Gatsby / Monuments / Oz / 12 Years / Hustle
alts: Monaco / Llewyn / Railway Man / Invisible Woman / Butler / The Book Thief

Makeup and Hair
Walter Mitty / Hobbit / Lone Ranger
alts: Hustle / Gatsby / Oz / Butler / Mandela / Rush

Cinematography
Gravity / Walter Mitty / Monuments / Llweyn / Nebraska
alts: 12 Years / Hustle / Lost / Captain Phillips / Wolf / Counselor / Rush / Foxcatcher / Prisoners / Estate / Wanted Man

Visual Effects
Gravity / Walter Mitty / Pacific Rim / Iron Man Three / World War Z
alts: Star Trek / Hobbit / Elysium

Score
Banks / 12 Years / August / Monuments / Hustle
alts: Wolf / Lost / Nebraska / Llewyn / Estate / Rush / Railway Man / Mandela / Devil's Knot / Butler

Sound Mixing
Llewyn / Gravity / Captain Phillips / Rush / Monuments
alts: 12 Years / Hustle / Lost / Mitty / Star Trek / Ender's Game

Sound Editing
Gravity / Monuments / Captain Phillips / Rush / Mitty
alts: 12 Years / Hustle / Pacific Rim / Lost / Iron Man Three / Monster's University / Star Trek